The UFC is taking full advantage of the Independence Day long-weekend in the United States by presenting two full cards this weekend. Saturday night the UFC presents UFC 175 with two title fights. Then on Sunday, the UFC presents The Ultimate 19 finale headlined by another fight between former lightweight champions Frankie Edgar and BJ Penn. Both events are happening at the Mandalay Bay Event center in Las Vegas.
The TUF middleweight season 19 finale features Eddie Gordon taking on Dhiego Lima for the right to be call the Ultimate fighter. The UFC odds makers have Lima as a -165 favorite. Bettors will need to risk $165 for every $100 they want to win on Lima. Gordon backers will win $125 for every $100 they risk if the underdog wins.
Eddie Gordon +125
Dhiego Lima -165
Dhiego Lima comes into the finale as favorite, considering his experience and his past performances the status feels justified. Before entering the TUF house, Lima amassed a 9-1 record and he’s finished his opponent in 8 of those 9 victories.
Eddie Gordon has fought professionally 7 times, winning 6 bouts with half coming before the final bell.
Lima has a well-rounded style that allows him to grapple or strike with his opponents depending on how the fight goes but he’s at a disadvantage when it comes to wrestling against Gordon.
Gordon is part of the Matt Serra-Ray Longo camp that produced current middleweight champion Chris Weidman. He’s very strong and he could physically bully Lima given the chance to clinch and make the fight grimy but he’s not as developed as his opponent just yet.
Lima is a finisher as his record indicates but Gordon has yet to be finished in his career. Gordon does need to protect some holes in his game to avoid being finished for the first time in his career. Gordon’s striking is not on par with Lima.
The big difference in this fight will be the size difference, Gordon started his career at heavyweight but with a better diet and training regiment, he’s been able to successfully compete at middleweight. Conversely, Lima is a small middleweight, his body is probably better suited for the UFC’s welterweight division.
I like the underdog Gordon in this fight, it won’t be pretty but he’ll do enough to win this fight.